Below is given a summary of my study which I have done for Disaster Risk Management. Never forget dear reader this World is full of Risks which need to be considered by humanity and especially by decision-maker persons. During this study in cooperation with Epoka University I have concluded that especially for Tirana and of course all Albania are missing Tools for Assessment of Risk and Multi Risk Hazard.
This science is very new for the entire World in fact, but I think we should develop e system of Hazard Risk Assesment in order to be ready for wars with hazard nature.
We need to be ready before war start and not to wait until the death will knock in our door.
"This independent study has intention to describe the different types of Natural Risk Hazard for Tirana City as well as main factors that affect specific hazard. Another important issue that will be break-down during this Study is a preview of main Risks. Multi Hazard Risk Assessment Tools review theory will be analyzed during this study and relevant suggestions for using in practice for Tirana City will be given as well. Different sources are used for developement of this study.
As a main concern dealing with tha fact that GIS based datas from Albanian Sources are missing. International Institutions Datas are used for this purpose. By the other side an historical preview of Tirana Urban Plan is given and degree of urbanization.
Conclusions of my study
Based on different Sources which are considered during this Research Tirana is at high Risk for Seismic Hazard, Wildfire Hazard, Heat wave Hazard and Flood Hazard. A Hazard Risk Maps for these Hazards are missing and are not available from Albanian Institutions. Different foreign Organizations have prepared Risk Map for each Hazard and this are considered in this Paper.
Multihazard Risk is not considered in the preparation of Urban Planning of Tirana City starting from the first Plan up-to latest Plan of year 2016. In the last Urban Plan 2016 are analysed and identified the elements for each hazard but Risk Assesment is not performed for each Hazard and also for Multihazard Risk. GIS based Maps are partially available for each potential hazard and missing totally Hazard and Multihazard Risk Maps. Urban Pllaning affect the level of Risk and might increase or decrease it.
Quantitative Risk Assesment Tool for Multihazard Risk Assesment is suggested to be the application Tool.
Urban Plan of Tirana is suggested to consider Multihazard Risk Assesment for General Plan and Detailed Plan in order to minimize the Multihazard Risk and dufferent Hazard Risks. For reaching this more detailed study need to be carry-out and possible correction of Urban Plan to be taken.
Recommendations for future research
A future more extensive and deeper Researchs should be carried-out by Researchers in collaboration with University and Municipality of Tirana.
I can say that this take a very important role in recent urban developement that will happen in Tirana City for next 30 years where the population is planned to be increased in 1.5 millions. In order to minimize the Risk and expecially Multi hazard Risks these studies i suggest can be considered as necessary.
*Tanush Çaushi - Disaster Risk Management Specialist
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